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c/o The European Institute 1001 Connecticut Avenue
NW, Suite 220
Washington, DC
20036-5531
Tel: (202) 895-1670
Fax (202) 362-1088
info@europeanaffairs.org
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Now that the proposed EU constitution has been rejected by substantial
majorities in the French and Dutch referendums,
the European Union has to decide what it can salvage from the wreckage.
The need to make the Union more efficient and more democratic, which
the constitution would have done, has not gone away and will only intensify
if the Union is to be further
enlarged. The best solution would be to revise and improve the constitution
to make it more acceptable to European voters, and resubmit the new
version for ratification when the time is ripe.
The current version of the constitution is dead. Although the French
and Dutch referendum campaigns and, arguably, their outcomes were fairly
superficial, the fact is that the constitution cannot come into force
without the
consent of all 25 member states of the European Union. Each of those
states can
decide how it chooses to ratify the constitution no matter
how misguided the choice or erratic the outcome. Attempts in the
Convention that drafted the constitution to amend these rigid ratification
procedures
were roundly defeated, not least as a result of the efforts of the
UK government.
The immediate reaction of the French and Dutch governments was
to deny that their countries could be asked to vote twice on
the same treaty text. That remains
their official position, and is likely to stay so. Both French President
Jacques Chirac and Dutch Prime Minister Jan Peter Balkenende,
already unpopular, have
been further weakened by their defeats in the referendums. But there is no
reason why, in due course, France, the Netherlands and the other
member states should
not be asked
to ratify a different text more likely to appeal to those who opposed the
current version.
A second ratification attempt would probably have to wait until after Mr.
Chirac and Mr. Balkenende have left the scene. Neither, however, can last
for ever or
now, it would seem, for long. Mr. Chirac’s term as President is due to
end with the next French presidential elections in spring 2007, and Mr. Balkenende
faces a parliamentary election at the same time, which could also remove
him from office.
The European Council that met, amid some panic, in mid-June took an improbable
decision about the future of the constitution that has, if anything, only
confused the situation further. The nine member states which at that time
had already
ratified the constitution were unwilling to admit that they had been wasting
their time.
“The European Council decided to engage in a year’s reflection, with
no specified purpose, about the future of Europe”
Those who had already planned
referendums in the near future above all Luxembourg were highly
agitated about the increasingly disaffected state of their public opinions. Euroskeptics
everywhere hailed the defeat of the constitution. Faced with these conflicting
tendencies, the European Council took not one decision but two: in effect, both
to continue with the ratification process despite the two rejections (but without
the original deadline of October 2006) and, at the same time, to engage in a
year’s reflection, with no specified
purpose, about the future of Europe.
Commentators, both in the media and in the European Parliament, were unsympathetic.
Nobody could satisfactorily explain how it is possible simultaneously both
to ratify and to reflect. Few had any ideas about how suddenly to
instigate a profound debate. It stretches credulity to imagine that the European
Council itself could be capable of stimulating and managing a large engagement
with European citizens.
This is especially so for a European Council that will be presided over by
British Prime Minister Tony Blair until the end of 2005. Mr. Blair is the
leader of a
country whose official policy towards the constitutional Convention on the
Future of Europe was to seek to stop its establishment in the first place,
then to restrict
its mandate and lastly to play down its results. And is this not the same
Tony Blair who connived to suppress all mention of Europe in the recent British
general
election campaign? And even the same Tony Blair who has now ditched two promised
referendums in Britain about Europe?
Luxembourg’s solid approval of the constitution in a referendum on July
10 should at least calm some ragged nerves before the long European summer
vacation. Come September, however, Europe will need some fresh thinking about
what to do
next. A period of reflection with no dynamic will all too easily end in stagnation
and public cynicism.
What, then, should happen in the autumn? First, it would be sensible to
acknowledge that the problems that led to the setting up of the Convention
in the first place have not disappeared. In fact, the pace of globalization,
demanding
a coherent and, above all, a political response from the European Union,
has increased. Europe still needs a more effective system of government
and
streamlined decision making. More than ever, Europe must be able to stand
on its own feet
in world affairs, and to enhance parliamentary democracy at the federal level.
Faced with demands for further enlargement, not least from Turkey, the European
Union needs its own home-grown Charter of Fundamental Rights.
Second, the European Union should analyze carefully what the voters are
saying. Did they reject the constitution because they had read it, and, having
understood it, disliked it? Or were they rather expressing alarm at a number
of political developments some, but by
no means all, associated with the European Union? Would increased popular
identity with and even affection for policy outcomes engendered in Brussels
swing public
opinion in favor
of the constitution?
The Convention had not been
allowed to delve too deeply into the
existing common policies of the European Union. Indeed, pressure from
the floor of the Convention to subject common policies to a thorough overhaul
was strongly resisted by a majority of
national governments. As a result, the policies of the Union remain in the
new constitutional text much as they have been since their creation. Some,
like the
notorious Common Agricultural Policy (CAP), are nearly 50 years old.
As a result, one can search the
constitution in vain to find the Lisbon agenda on economic reform, agreed
by EU leaders in 2000, the objectives of a reformed CAP, the details of asylum
and immigration policy or the tougher criteria already being applied to countries
seeking accession. Part III of the constitution, which covers the policies
and functioning of the Union, needs a radical redrafting in order to modernize
and
refresh those very policies which provoked most disfavor in the French and
Dutch referendum campaigns.
Top of the list is consolidation of the European single market, and its completion,
not least in the services sector, so
as to ensure that workers can move and work across the European Union without
spurious obstacles being put in their way by national governments. The Union
would also benefit from a positive, bold political decision to place
climate security at the heart of all its common policies.
Not all the revisions to the constitution need to be about the content of
policy. There could well be spillover from a focus on policy into institutional
matters, especially those concerning the economic governance of the Union,
where the Convention made next to no change. The 12 states that are members
of the
euro zone could be expected to agree to strengthen their internal coordination
of macroeconomic policy. Any
revised Part III would be almost bound to include a more forceful and centralized
common budgetary policy.
“Any revision would be almost bound to include
a more forceful and centralized common budgetary policy”
In addition to such political changes, a revision of the constitution should
seek to create a proper hierarchy
between the four different parts of the constitution so that Part III becomes
distinctly subsidiary to the genuinely constitutional provisions of Part
I, which sets out the values and overall aims of the Union, describes the
structure
and
powers of its institutions, and defines the Union’s competences and the
conditions of membership. Part II, the Charter of Fundamental Rights of Union,
could be moved to enjoy a similar relationship to the constitution proper
as the Bill of Rights has to the U.S. constitution. And greater flexibility
should
be introduced to make it easier for the constitution to evolve in future
to meet changing social, economic and political circumstances.
One problem will be to persuade the countries that have already ratified
the existing constitution to go through the process all over again with an
amended
text. The new version will clearly have to be much more attractive to the
general public if governments are to dare to seek a second round of ratification
and
campaign hard for it. But that in itself is an argument for making the new
version more obviously responsive to public criticism and to the real needs
for better
policies and decision-making procedures in Brussels.
There will be many proposals for the technique of arriving at a new consensus
on a revised constitution, including the establishment of groups of wise
men and congresses of parliamentarians. But the mechanism eventually adopted
for
this renegotiation has to be another Convention, with a fresh mandate and
new composition. Parliamentary, pluralistic and open, only a new Convention
would
have the legitimacy, authority and
expertise to renegotiate the first, failed text. A wise British presidency
of the Council would exploit the self-imposed period of reflection to prepare
the
ground for the new Convention.
Andrew Duff is the Liberal Democrat Member of the European Parliament for
Eastern England and spokesman on constitutional affairs for the Alliance
of Liberals and Democrats for Europe (ALDE). www.andrewduffmep.org
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